The Big Reason Real Estate Is In Trouble In The Virus Outbreak
Real estate is often regarded as one of the safest assets to invest in as they don’t just tend to rise in value over time, they also provide a nice rental income to sustain itself.
Even if there is no real boom in the economy, inflation would also drag the price of properties up with it.
This is why investors and even the typical home owner have been buying real estate for the purpose of investment.
It’s no surprise these days to find that the people around you like friends, relatives, and colleagues having more than one property in their own personal portfolios.
But despite it’s reputation as one of the safest assets, the coronavirus outbreak throughout the world is expected to create such chaos in the real estate market that even the average homeowner with a second home could be affected by it.
This is because the outbreak has driven a lot of companies to it’s knees. Business is so negatively affected that revenue has run dry. Since a lot of small businesses operate with cash flow rather than capital, profits or credit, a short period of limited cash inflow could be enough to force them to close their shutters.
With companies having to close down, people would go out of work. And with the absence of their regular income, they are going to default on their mortgages unless they have done the prudent thing in accumulating an emergency fund in advance.
This potentially terrible economic situation is also why governments all over the world are initiating billion-dollars stimulus programs to help companies obtain access to credit. The objective of these credit is to enable them to maintain their business operations until the outbreak settles down and it’s safe again for consumers to go back on the street to spend money.
Even the Federal Reserve has taken bold urgent action by reducing interest rates to near-zero.
Businesses going under is not something new. But having a lot of them doing so at the same time can be catastrophic to an economy on the whole.
A nationwide trend of defaults on mortgages would essentially send real estate prices tumbling… possibly bring us back to the period of depressed home prices observed post-2008. And because of the sheer volume of these events occurring, borrower might even experience limited options in loss mitigation.
The critical factor with this virus in terms of economic implications is that the longer the situation of lock downs persist, the higher the possibility of absolute economic calamity. This is why governments are not afraid of being bold in their actions to curb the infection rates.
Economic activities can normalize very quickly once public agencies get the situation under control. But the longer this drags on, the more possible it is for economic collapse.
The silver lining is that most governments appear to be optimistic that the current situation should only last a few months, and definitely not flow into the next year.
Yet in truth, we have absolutely no idea when we would indeed have this under control.
