Long run drought state of affairs continues throughout the area

The Barbados-based Caribbean Local weather Outlook Discussion board (CariCOF) the Pacific has transitioned out of La Niña and ocean temperatures across the Caribbean are anticipated to be near common.

La Niña is characterised by unusually chilly ocean temperatures within the Equatorial Pacific, in comparison with El Niño, which is characterised by unusually heat ocean temperatures.

“This makes it troublesome to forecast uncommon local weather circumstances because the Caribbean transitions into the moist season,” CariCOF mentioned in its newest Caribbean Local weather Outlook Publication launched right here on Tuesday.

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It mentioned however, long-term drought issues are rising in components of Cuba, whereas the results of frequent dry spells throughout the Islands and Belize will probably proceed, with a peak in wild fireplace potential and Saharan mud intrusions.

“There’s a probability of heatwaves in Belize, Cuba, Jamaica and Trinidad from April, and from Might elsewhere within the Islands. Against this, the potential for flooding, flash floods and cascading hazards will improve to average or excessive into Might,” CariCOf added.

It mentioned present extreme (or worse) brief time period drought has developed in southeast Cuba, jap Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Jamaica and extreme (or worse) long run drought has developed in Haiti, and St. Vincent.

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“Long run drought may probably develop or proceed in Barbados, northern Belize, Japanese Cuba, southern Dominican Republic, Grenada, and Tobago.  Areas ending up in long run drought by the tip of Might are more likely to expertise decrease than standard water ranges in massive reservoirs, massive rivers and groundwater.”

CariCOF mentioned that short-term drought state of affairs by the tip of June 2023  may probably develop within the Northern Bahamas, Barbados, northern Belize, Grand Cayman, Japanese and Western Cuba, Dominican Republic, Grenada, jap Jamaica, western Puerto Rico, St. Vincent, Trinidad and Tobago, and the USA Virgin Islands (USVI).


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